Market Updates
Weekly Market Insight: October week 3
16 Oct 2023
Macro-Outlook
- S&P closed +0.45% last week, while US 10Year treasury yield dropped 19.3bps. Market didn’t like the inflation figures in September, core PPI month-over-month 0.3% vs 0.2% estimated, CPI was 3.7% vs 3.6% estimated and core CPI 4.1% matched with estimated. These numbers indicated the resilience of sticky inflation and marked the third month of difficulty getting the disinflation momentum continued. The market erased most of the weekly gain in the second half of the week. However, despite that, the market expected the probability the Fed to remain unchanged increased from 73% to 91% in the upcoming November FOMC meeting and 66% chance unchanged throughout the year after several Fed committees expressed "proceed with caution" in their Fed rate decision.
- Geopolitical risk remains heated, countries urged to stop wider conflict. Iran demanded Israel to stop attacking Gaza, warning the war could expand further if Hezbollah joins the battle. Hezbollah was reported carried several attacks in northern part of Israel. US crude oil increased 5.97% in a week, risk heaven assets such as gold increased 5.45% and US treasury prices increased across the duration.
- Last Friday, Citibank, JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and BlackRock Q3 earnings were reported better than analysts’ forecast, keeping the earning multiple consensus in place.
 
Upcoming Economic Calendar including,
Tuesday, 17th October 8:30pm: US Retail Sales in September
13 of 19 Fed members will be speaking this week, including Jerome Powell on Friday, 12:00am.
Q3 earnings: Bank of America and Goldman Sachs on Tuesday. Tesla, Netflix and Morgan Stanley on Wednesday.
 
Cryptos-Outlook
- JPMorgan’s most anticipated Tokenised Collateral Network, TCN has gone live with its first collateral settlement by BlackRock to turn shares in one of its money market funds into tokens, which then transferred to Barclays as collateral for an over-the-counter derivatives trade between the two institutions.
- US SEC reported not to appeal the court ruling with Grayscale, conversation between two parties will begin in the next 2 weeks. Bloomberg ETF specialist expected 90% chance BTC spot ETF will be approved by 10th January 2024.
- BitVM was introduced, allows computable functions to be optimistically verified on Bitcoin without a soft fork.
- Mastercard participated in the CBDC pilot project in Australia, demonstrated CBDC used to purchase a NFT listed on Ethereum.
 
Trending Protocols
Layer 1 and Layer 2
- Scroll mainnet has been live with genesis block produced on 10th October.
 
Dapps
- BigTime, Free-to-Play MMORPG game officially launched BIGTIME token on multiple CEXs.
- Tangible’s stablecoin, USDR depeg as a result of redemption run of its most stable in its collateral pool, DAI. Leaving majority holdings of native tokens TNGBL and illiquid inflated real estate valuation.
- SSV Network co-founder, Alon Muroch, was being drafted into the Israel military. Orbs, Bancor, Open Campus, Secret Network, StarkNet and Braavos are Israel-based protocols.
- Farcaster, Vitalik-endorsed decentralised social platform went live on OP with permissionless sign-up.
- Immutable X joined Amazon’s ISV Accelerate Program.
- Rio Network introduced liquid restaking tokens, reETH powered by Eigen Layer.
- Blur announced its season 2 airdrop until 20th November.
- Reserve Protocol is live on Base.
 
Upcoming Alpha: Token Unlock, Governance
- Apecoin proposed to develop a ZK-L2 with Polygon CDK.
- APE Token Unlocked on 17th October, amount representing 4.23% of the token supply.
- AXS Token Unlocked on 20th October, amount representing 11.5% of the token supply.
 
Disclaimer
The content prepared by ChainUp Investment Limited (the “Company”) is not and shall not be construed as an investment advice and does not constitute any offer or solicitation to offer or recommendation of any investment product, including but not limited to the funds or investment products that may be offered by the Company. It is for general purposes only and does not take into account your particular objectives, financial situation, or needs. Investment involves risk and you should be aware that the value of digital assets/tokens may fluctuate greatly if such investment involves digital assets/ token. You should invest only if you are prepared to accept the risk of losing all of the money you put into such investment.The content of this email is confidential and proprietary to the Company, and no part of it or its subject matter may be reproduced, redistributed, passed on, or divulged to any other person or published in whole or in part for any purpose without the Company's prior written consent. If received in error, please inform the Company immediately. The content of the email may be restricted by law and not intended for distribution or use by any person in any jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. The Company shall have no liability for any misuse or unauthorised distribution of the content of this email. The content of the email may contain forward looking statements that involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other important factors that may cause actual results, performance, or achievements to be materially different from future results, performance, or achievements expressed or implied by such statements. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.The Company does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information in the email and makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to its fairness, accuracy, or completeness. None of the Company, its advisers, connected persons, or any other person accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use of the presentation or its contents. Nothing in this email excludes any liability for fraudulent misrepresentation. Any investor or prospective investor should consult its own counsel and advisers as to all legal, tax, regulatory, financial, and related matters concerning an investment and as to their suitability for the investor or prospective investor.The content of this email has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Cayman Islands or Singapore. If there is any inconsistency between the English and Chinese versions of this disclaimer, the English version shall prevail.
Disclaimer
Contact ChainUp Investment
First Name
Last Name
Email Address
Your Mobile Phone Number
+65
no data
Company Name
Job Title
Remarks
0/200